Thursday, March 22, 2012

Posts Tagged ‘Cliff Mass Weather Blog’

A New View of Seasonal Changes

A New View of Seasonal Changes

Cliff Mass Weather Blog - Tuesday, March 20, 2012 22:37

Doesn't  it seem like the warmth of spring and the comfort of summer takes an eternity to occur here in the Northwest?   (and astronomically, today is the first day of spring by the way).   In this blog, I am going to show you ...

The U.S. Fallen Behind in Numerical Weather Prediction

The U.S. Fallen Behind in Numerical Weather Prediction

Cliff Mass Weather Blog - Sunday, March 18, 2012 13:49

It is a national embarrassment.  It has resulted in large unnecessary costs for the U.S. economy and needless endangerment of our citizens.  And it shouldn't be occurring.What am I talking about?   The third rate status of numerical...

The Revenge of La Nina

The Revenge of La Nina

Cliff Mass Weather Blog - Friday, March 16, 2012 9:25

 Forecast Update and More on La Nina on KPLU at 9 AM Friday or online.Last winter we were securely in La Nina conditions and the region experienced a miserable, cold, wet spring that lasted into mid summer.   Horror to all soccer and Lit...

Why is it so hard to forecast lowland snow?

Why is it so hard to forecast lowland snow?

Cliff Mass Weather Blog - Wednesday, March 14, 2012 9:01

Meteorologists can get windstorm forecasts right nearly all of the time.  We hit the record high temperatures in July 2009 nearly dead on.  We can give you a skillful forecast of a marine push in the summer.But snow forecasts, although improv...

Major Storm Hits

Major Storm Hits

Cliff Mass Weather Blog - Monday, March 12, 2012 12:23

This storm has so many interesting and intense features I just wanted to update everyone on the action.  Here is the latest infrared satellite photo--simply impressive.  You can see the swirling clouds around the low center, which is now cros...

Storm Update

Storm Update

Cliff Mass Weather Blog - Monday, March 12, 2012 0:55

Its showtime.   The coastal storm is now rapidly intensifying offshore and winds are increasingly over the coast and over NW Washington.  The latest runs indicate a similar path as previous model forecasts, with the low crossing the nort...

Major Coastal Storm

Major Coastal Storm

Cliff Mass Weather Blog - Saturday, March 10, 2012 16:38

Forget the snow showers and other minor weather annoyances.   We got bigger fish to fry.   A major cyclone will rapidly develop on Sunday and then move northward off our shore, crossing the northern portion of Vancouver Island.&nbsp...

Lenticular Clouds

Lenticular Clouds

Cliff Mass Weather Blog - Friday, March 9, 2012 0:59

Today there were wonderful displays of lenticular clouds (a.k.a. mountain wave clouds) downstream of both the Olympics and Mt. Rainier.    Here are a few photos to enjoy.  First one from the cam on top of my building, facing towards...

Will You See the Aurora Tonight?

Will You See the Aurora Tonight?

Cliff Mass Weather Blog - Wednesday, March 7, 2012 18:57

I have gotten several emails about this, so let me provide some brief guidance.  The short answer:  probably not.There was a major solar event yesterday and with clear skies several of you saw a nice display last night.  In fact, Greg Jo...

A Potential Source of K-12 Science and Math Teachers

A Potential Source of K-12 Science and Math Teachers

Cliff Mass Weather Blog - Wednesday, March 7, 2012 0:24

 I have an idea...tell me whether its crazy.The U.S. has a substantial problem with securing enough K-12 teachers with good knowledge in STEM (Science, Technology, Engineering, and Mathematics) subjects (one study of this problem).  This prob...

Double Convergence Zone and Snow Hits the Area!

Double Convergence Zone and Snow Hits the Area!

Cliff Mass Weather Blog - Monday, March 5, 2012 23:52

As last night's run correctly forecast, the front did not bring any snow to the lowlands.  As noted yesterday, it was a really interesting situation in which a small change in the configuration of the front caused a huge change in the snow predict...

Snow Threat Evaporates

Snow Threat Evaporates

Cliff Mass Weather Blog - Monday, March 5, 2012 0:01

I just took a look at the latest model runs---both the UW and NWS models--and I had quite a shock.   The lowland snows suggested in the previous model runs were GONE.  To illustrate, here is the 24-h snowfall for the period ending 4 PM M...

Lowland Snow Timing

Lowland Snow Timing

Cliff Mass Weather Blog - Sunday, March 4, 2012 11:47

Sunday morning's model runs are holding with a pulse of snow tomorrow morning and early afternoon with the front.  0 to 2 inch for most, but some could get more.  Here are the latest forecast output for the 3-hr ending 10 AM.This run shows pr...

One Last Shot at Lowland Snow and a Salty Story

One Last Shot at Lowland Snow and a Salty Story

Cliff Mass Weather Blog - Saturday, March 3, 2012 21:32

We are running out of time for lowland snow.    As I have noted in earlier blogs, we have had significant lowland snows the first week of March, but after that it becomes increasingly rare.  But with that said, the current forecast ...

New Weather Feature: The Strait of Juan De Fuca Cloud Line

New Weather Feature: The Strait of Juan De Fuca Cloud Line

Cliff Mass Weather Blog - Thursday, March 1, 2012 23:46

Sometimes one observes a feature that is a bit unusual and one was obvious today--a line of clouds and precipitation down the Strait of Juan de Fuca that extended across northern Puget Sound.  Here is an image from the Camano Island radar at 6:54 ...

Wet Snow and the Mt. Rainier Convergence Zone

Wet Snow and the Mt. Rainier Convergence Zone

Cliff Mass Weather Blog - Wednesday, February 29, 2012 13:26

Many of you have noticed some wet snow mixed with the rain--even down to sea level.  However, the heaviest accumulations occurred where the models suggested:  southeast of the Olympic Mountains from Shelton to Silverdale to Quilcene.  Th...

Lowland Snow?, Thank You, and The Seattle Times Does it Again

Lowland Snow?, Thank You, and The Seattle Times Does it Again

Cliff Mass Weather Blog - Tuesday, February 28, 2012 0:04

We are now thoroughly stuck in a La Nina pattern, cold and occasionally wet.  The mountains are going to get several more feet this week...pretty much guaranteed...but there is also a possibility of some lowland areas....particularly southeast of ...

Puget Sound Convergence Zone Snow

Puget Sound Convergence Zone Snow

Cliff Mass Weather Blog - Saturday, February 25, 2012 11:41

We have a fairly strong convergence zone going on, with a moderate precipitation rate, plus much colder air over us--the result has been some light snow, particularly places that have a little elevation.Here is the latest radar....in fact, we have two ...

Lowland Snow Showers, Cold Air, and Strong Winds

Lowland Snow Showers, Cold Air, and Strong Winds

Cliff Mass Weather Blog - Friday, February 24, 2012 0:40

A lot of action coming up, including a good chance that some lowland folks will spot a few snowflakes. (Note to TV stations:  no big lowland snowstorms!!)A strong Pacific front is approaching us now, behind which there is some cold air. &nbsp...

The Spada Lake Anomaly

The Spada Lake Anomaly

Cliff Mass Weather Blog - Thursday, February 23, 2012 12:45

There is a precipitation anomaly around here that is rarely discussed.In many ways, it is the anti-Sequim, anti-rainshadow.A place of extraordinary precipitation near Puget Sound.I am talking about the Spada Lake anomaly.Let us begin by talking about t...

Heavy Rain, Avalanches, and Reduce Threat of Lowland Snow

Heavy Rain, Avalanches, and Reduce Threat of Lowland Snow

Cliff Mass Weather Blog - Wednesday, February 22, 2012 1:00

While central and western Puget Sound experienced a nearly rain-free day, very heavy rain has struck the western slopes of the Cascades.    Take a look at the current upper level pattern (see below)--one with a broad ridge over the easte...

Chance of Snow Next Weekend?

Chance of Snow Next Weekend?

Cliff Mass Weather Blog - Sunday, February 19, 2012 16:10

I have gotten about a dozen emails the last few days asking about the potential for snow next weekend.  I am going to break my normal "120 hr rule" (don't talk about forecasts for more than 5 days out because uncertainty is so large).  Yes, t...

Big Winds in the Morning

Big Winds in the Morning

Cliff Mass Weather Blog - Saturday, February 18, 2012 0:06

A strong low pressure center is going to move across northern Washington tomorrow (Sat) morning and the winds will be very strong...there will certainly be some power outages.  In the infrared satellite this evening you can clearly see the swirl o...

The Northwest Death Zone for Pacific Fronts

The Northwest Death Zone for Pacific Fronts

Cliff Mass Weather Blog - Friday, February 17, 2012 1:06

Living in the interior of western Washington or Oregon, or anywhere east of the Cascades, we must live with a reality:  our frontal passages are generally really wimpy.  You live on the central Plains of the U.S. or even much of the East Coas...

Northwest Weather Workshop: March 2-3

Cliff Mass Weather Blog - Thursday, February 16, 2012 14:38

 The Northwest Weather Workshop is the big annual meeting for those interested in Northwest Weather, including professional meteorologists and other all others interested in the topic.   This year it starts on Friday, March 2 at 1 PM and...

The Longest Forecast

The Longest Forecast

Cliff Mass Weather Blog - Wednesday, February 15, 2012 0:37

What are the longest regular numerical weather forecasts made by the National Weather Service and what do they show for this spring? First, a definition---a numerical weather forecast begins with a description of the atmosphere at one time and the...

Will we do anything about global warming? Should we?

Will we do anything about global warming? Should we?

Cliff Mass Weather Blog - Sunday, February 12, 2012 9:31

My colleagues and I often talk about global warming:  both about the science and what mankind can and should do about it.  We are pretty much on agreement about two points:(1)  Global warming due to human production of greenhouse gases w...

An Unusual Ridge That Won't Go Away

An Unusual Ridge That Won’t Go Away

Cliff Mass Weather Blog - Saturday, February 11, 2012 0:14

For those wanting a return of real winter (cold, snow, big storms, floods), time is running out.  Really big events are rare after February 25th west of the Cascades, with the potential for significant lowland snow fading out after the first week ...

Weather Cousins In Hawaii

Weather Cousins In Hawaii

Cliff Mass Weather Blog - Thursday, February 9, 2012 0:17

You would think the weather is very different in Hawaii than here in the Northwest, but there are a lot of things we share, and particularly today. This morning an unusually strong front pushed across the islands, with strong southwesterly winds befor...

The Weather Battle

The Weather Battle

Cliff Mass Weather Blog - Tuesday, February 7, 2012 1:05

A heroic meteorological conflict has been taking place between two implacable foes:  (1) easterly winds passing over the Cascades and moving down its western slopes, and (2) a low-level inversion or cold stable air layer near the surface.  Wh...


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