I have gotten several emails about this, so let me provide some brief guidance.  The short answer:  probably not.

There was a major solar event yesterday and with clear skies several of you saw a nice display last night.  In fact, Greg Johnson has captured last night’s event on his web cam video (click on image to see video)

 

The event peaked last night and based on the Kp index, seems to be declining (see graphic). 

According to the guidance from the NOAA Space Weather Center, we might not see it because of that weakening (see graphic).    However, I have found their estimates are often off…so I would not give up on it for that reason alone.

But there is a more serious issue…skies around here are no longer clear…we are getting considerable high clouds coming around the offshore ridge.  Here is the latest infrared satellite picture:

You see the problem.

The weather prediction models also forecast clouds and here are the simulations of what a satellite image would look like at 1 AM and  4 AM.  Yes, there are thin, high clouds in the forecast.  Better if you go south and east…but going south gets you away from the aurora.

Maybe we will luck out…there will be a thin spot in the clouds or the aurora will go farther south than expected.  Viewing a good aurora is an amazing experience.