Tropical Cyclone Nine Tracking Map

remarks:
251500z position near 16.1s 107.9e.
Tropical cyclone (tc) 09s, located approximately 515 nm northwest of
Learmonth, Australia, has tracked westward at 05 knots over the past
six hours. Animated infrared satellite imagery shows convection has
improved over the past 03 hours and is beginning to develop banding
features, supported by a 25 1106z ssmis 91ghz pass. Current
intensity is based on Dvorak fixes from pgtw, knes, and aprf
indicating 35 knots. Strong gradient induced winds are continuing to
wrap towards the low level circulation center (LLCC). Tc 09s is
currently tracking under the influence of ridging located to the
south, but has been slowing over the past 24 hours as the ridge
weakens. A building subtropical ridge (str) located north of tc 09s
is expected to shift the track to the southeast over the next 12
hours and will continue to track tc 09s southeastward through tau
96. An extension of the str will build over western Australia and
turn tc 09s to the southwest beyond tau 96. Upper level analysis
indicates tc 09s is located equatorward of a subtropical ridge axis,
which is providing good poleward outflow, but is also sheering
convection westward. As tc 09s tracks to the southeast the vertical
wind shear will decrease, allowing further development through the
forecast period. This forecast is based on a consensus of model
guidance. This warning supersedes and cancels ref a, joint typhoon
warcen Pearl Harbor hi 251051z Jan 12 tropical cyclone formation
alert (wtxs21 pgtw 251100). Maximum significant wave height at
251200z is 10 feet. Next warnings at 260300z and 261500z. Refer to
tropical cyclone 08s (funso) warnings (wtxs32 pgtw) for twelve-
hourly updates.//